Brody Mullins and Naftali Bendavid reported in yesterday’s (Oct. 17) Wall Street Journal that, “Unlike the past three congressional elections, the 2012 campaign isn’t shaping up as a landslide for either party. The fight for the House is really about battles in slightly more than 50 competitive districts.
“One reason is the way Republicans were able to take better advantage than Democrats of the once-a-decade redistricting process to redraw congressional districts in a way that protected many of their most vulnerable members.
“Democrats need to recapture 25 House seats from Republicans to take the majority and return Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) to the speaker’s chair. Most independent analysts say Democrats may gain a handful of seats, but not enough to take control.”
The article explained that, “Spending directly by candidates of both parties will top $1.1 billion on the 435 House races, according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics.
“But total spending on the races—including from outside groups—is harder to estimate. Not counted in the official tally kept by the Federal Election Commission are all of the activities of labor unions, which overwhelmingly support Democrats. Much of that spending isn’t disclosed to the FEC.”
This week’s Journal article also included the graphical illustration below, depicting the most competitive 50 House races, 34 of which are held by the GOP.